Market Basket Dashboard

May 2026 Forecast Cycle — Arby's System (~3,300 restaurants)

Year
Month
Version
Scenario78 items · 13 categoriesPublishedOfficial
View
Weighted national average across all DCs
Basket Total / Week
$5,454.33+1.8% vs AOP
vs Prior Month
+0.6%Costs rising
vs Prior Year
+3.2%YoY increase
Confidence Score
72%Moderate
Share of basket priced from contracts or buyer entries
Cycle Status
Published28d left
Strike deadline Jun 19, 2026

Monthly Basket Trend

12-month basket total vs AOP plan and prior year ($/week per restaurant)

Category Breakdown

Forecast spend by category for the active scenario, ranked by weekly extended cost

Over AOP Under AOPBasket average vs AOP: +1.7%
Beef
12 items
$2,073.7638.0%
+2.1%
vs AOP
+0.4%
vs prior mo
83%
confidence
Fries & Sides
8 items
$654.9412.0%
+1.2%
vs AOP
+0.5%
vs prior mo
88%
confidence
Pork
5 items
$436.608.0%
+3.5%
vs AOP
+1.2%
vs prior mo
68%
confidence
Poultry
6 items
$383.857.0%
-0.8%
vs AOP
-0.3%
vs prior mo
74%
confidence
Distribution Fee
1 items
$364.086.7%
+0.8%
vs AOP
+0.2%
vs prior mo
100%
confidence
Bread
6 items
$280.405.1%
+0.5%
vs AOP
+0.2%
vs prior mo
91%
confidence
Cheese & Dairy
7 items
$277.205.1%
+2.8%
vs AOP
+1.1%
vs prior mo
62%
confidence
Fry Oil
2 items
$218.404.0%
+4.5%
vs AOP
+2.6%
vs prior mo
45%
confidence
Sauces
8 items
$181.003.3%
-0.3%
vs AOP
-0.1%
vs prior mo
79%
confidence
Desserts
4 items
$163.403.0%
+1.0%
vs AOP
+0.3%
vs prior mo
70%
confidence
Fountain Bev
4 items
$161.503.0%
+0.2%
vs AOP
+0.0%
vs prior mo
95%
confidence
Packaging
9 items
$156.802.9%
+1.5%
vs AOP
+0.6%
vs prior mo
66%
confidence
Produce
6 items
$102.401.9%
+5.2%
vs AOP
+3.4%
vs prior mo
38%
confidence
Total · 78 items
$5,454.33/wk100.0% of basket+1.7% vs AOP+0.6% vs prior mo79% confidence

Key Movers

Top 5 items driving cost change vs prior month

ItemCategoryPrior Mo LandedLanded $/Case$ Change% Change
Fry Oil 35lb JIB
Fry Oil
$40.10$42.30+$2.20+5.5%
Roast Beef 40lb
Beef
$183.85$186.00+$2.15+1.2%
Tomato Diced #10
Produce
$19.50$18.20-$1.30-6.7%
Pork Belly Slab
Pork
$95.15$96.40+$1.25+1.3%
Cheddar Slice 160ct
Cheese & Dairy
$53.70$54.80+$1.10+2.0%